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Title:How size of target avalanches influences prediction efficiency
Authors:ID Shapoval, Alexander (Author)
ID Shnirman, M. (Author)
Files: This document has no files that are freely available to the public. This document may have a physical copy in the library of the organization, check the status via COBISS. Link is opened in a new window
Language:English
Work type:Unknown
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:UNG - University of Nova Gorica
Abstract:Bak, Tang, and Wiesenfeld [Phys. Rev. Lett.59, 381 (1987)] introduced their sand-pile (BTW sand-pile) as the cellular automata coming to their critical state without tuning any inner model parameters. The main model features deal with grains falling slowly onto the two-dimensional lattice and a quick deterministic transport of the superfluous grains to the boundary. The simplest modifications of the BTW sand-pile develop a random transport mechanism instead of a deterministic one. The model transportation of the grains generates avalanches. We find that before the big avalanches the height of the pile increases and the singular grains organize themselves in special clusters. These observations lead to the formal algorithm that predicts the big avalanches in advance with a certain efficiency. However the efficiency for the BTW sand-pile is worse than that for its stochastic modifications.
Keywords:sandpile, prediction, avalanches
Year of publishing:2004
Number of pages:str. 1777-1790
Numbering:Vol. 17, no. 12
PID:20.500.12556/RUNG-6492 New window
COBISS.SI-ID:60316419 New window
UDC:53
ISSN on article:0129-1831
DOI:10.1142/S0129183106010212 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UNG:REP:FDHZ3KLW
Publication date in RUNG:19.04.2021
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:International journal of modern physics C
Shortened title:Int. j. mod. phys. C
Publisher:World Scientific
ISSN:0129-1831
COBISS.SI-ID:2801191 New window

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